The Naked Dollar

Comments from finance/tech guy turned novelist. Author of best seller Campusland. Follow on Twitter: @SJohnston60.

Monday, October 29, 2012

Election Models Update

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As I write, Sandy is pounding on us, so I will try to get this out before we lose power. During Irene, we lost power for five days. Ugh. H...

SNL Nails It

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SNL has summed up the Naked Dollar's view of undecideds nicely: http://www.nbc.com/saturday-night-live/video/undecided-voter/1418227
Sunday, October 28, 2012

Have Conservatives Warmed to Mitt?

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All through the primaries, conservatives, including this one, kept searching for the anti-Mitt. Just about everyone got to take a cut, an...
Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Independents Are Not What You Think They Are

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Most independents have no idea what's going on. Okay, that's a controversial thing to say, but bear with me for a couple of min...

Breaking News - Naked Dollar Electoral Model Shows Exact Tie!

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After a comfortable lead all year for Obama, the Naked Dollar Electoral Model (NDEM) now shows the race at an exact tie in the electoral...
1 comment:
Monday, October 22, 2012

More Polling Nonsense in Ohio

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See, this is what I'm talking about . Today a CBS News/Quinnipiac poll was released for Ohio showing Obama up 50-45. Bad news for Romney...
1 comment:
Sunday, October 21, 2012

Election Models Update - October 21st

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First, the Pulse Index: And the cumulative view: To understand this, click here . Up is good for Republicans, down for Dems. Quite...
Friday, October 19, 2012

Intrade, Ohio, and the State of the Race

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This is meant as a follow up to my previous post where I suggested that Obama's odds on Intrade seemed rich relative to the existing ...
3 comments:
Thursday, October 18, 2012

Is Someone Manipulating Intrade?

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As Naked Dollar readers know, I love prediction markets. I love them because they have a highly successful record of predicting political...
3 comments:
Friday, October 12, 2012

Election Models Update - October 12th

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To understand this model, click here . We can now see the effect of the first debate in the data: Republicans are experiencing a prono...
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Scott
Author of St. Martin's Press novel Campusland, Co-founder of two technology companies, former Yale adjunct. Follow on Twitter @SJohnston60
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