Lots more data coming in...and things keep getting better for the Republicans. My model now shows a 72 seat pick up in the House. Mind you, this does not necessarily mean that voters have broken Republican over the last few days. Looking at the numbers, what's really going on is that we're getting polling data on races that either were never polled or hadn't been polled in a couple of months, and these races have shifted towards Republicans just as much as the ones we already knew about.
Pundits are completely flummoxed. Barney Frank and Dennis Kucinich are the latest prominent names on the watch list. Mind you, they will both likley hold their seats, but the mere suggestion that they will have to break a sweat is confounding to the chattering classes.
That the house will fall for Dems is now a given. Anything under a 50-seat pickup should be viewed as disappointing. I look forward to the spectacle of Nancy Pelosi flying commercial.
The Senate situation is in constant flux. Right now, I'd say a 50/50 split is quite likely, with Smilin' Joe Biden casting the deciding vote.
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